Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 13.421165 15.017743 16.745868 18.758155 21.040457 23.552615 26.532710
2025-06-01 11.078679 13.214545 15.693948 18.795736 22.587518 27.091081 32.873677
2025-06-08 9.361315 11.810997 14.836194 18.872039 24.152931 30.879645 40.179282
2025-06-15 8.265532 10.980008 14.529256 19.557365 26.573677 36.129872 50.323953
2025-06-22 7.121268 9.904749 13.735415 19.465869 27.947666 40.239572 59.770163
2025-06-29 6.108317 8.853809 12.810914 19.031829 28.753140 43.679235 68.951078
2025-07-06 5.345889 8.048552 12.113935 18.808061 29.817366 47.675780 79.819294
2025-07-13 4.908458 7.666180 11.990028 19.440171 32.327528 54.410411 96.689056
2025-07-20 4.534158 7.327758 11.881091 20.069654 34.931591 61.774867 116.345278
2025-07-27 4.151567 6.921997 11.600959 20.354706 36.969490 68.500802 136.361887
2025-08-03 3.739352 6.411334 11.070585 20.105139 37.967499 73.445232 153.955607
2025-08-10 3.375462 5.939203 10.544563 19.778915 38.752593 78.102914 172.059019
2025-08-17 3.055948 5.516670 10.069478 19.509604 39.672492 83.364820 193.266970
2025-08-24 2.792135 5.166341 9.686149 19.368036 40.846148 89.445355 218.195441
2025-08-31 2.570158 4.869660 9.369214 19.316857 42.216045 96.281313 247.078149
2025-09-07 2.438987 4.735582 9.359183 19.922952 45.202522 107.631514 291.593554
2025-09-14 2.249569 4.461469 9.026204 19.760107 46.339753 114.649629 326.100872
2025-09-21 2.053513 4.151603 8.579880 19.270053 46.584600 119.417136 355.455765
2025-09-28 1.897661 3.909627 8.251244 19.008497 47.366344 125.824807 392.172361
2025-10-05 1.821963 3.832787 8.279772 19.622103 50.586920 139.901597 459.551077
2025-10-12 1.751579 3.759671 8.307428 20.238704 53.946786 155.251834 537.404682
2025-10-19 1.664311 3.638629 8.208249 20.512190 56.393054 168.436607 612.549787
2025-10-26 1.552708 3.449529 7.924152 20.250370 57.217479 176.649835 671.543489